★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  ★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  

Racing research & data studies

Built from 11 years of UK & Irish results — rigorous, honest, free to cite.

Most racing "facts" are folklore. These aren't. Each study below is computed from over a million runner records — the real numbers behind the questions punters argue about, with the method shown and the losses included. Use them, share them, cite them.
Do favourites actually win?
A third of the time — and they've lost money to level stakes for over a decade running.
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Draw bias at every British & Irish course
Chester's sprint winners come from the inside; Lingfield and Ascot from the outside.
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How often does each price actually win?
Odds-on shots win 60%, 20/1-plus just 1.6% — the real strike rate of every price.
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The winning-most UK & Irish trainers
Strike rates and total winners for the biggest yards — Appleby, Mullins, Gosden and more.
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The winning-most UK & Irish jockeys
Strike rates and total winners in the saddle — Townend, Moore, Dettori, Murphy and more.
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What age of horse wins most?
The Flat is a young horse's game (3yo peak); jumps rewards maturity (6yo). The full age curve for both.
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Field size & shocks: do big fields cause upsets?
In small fields the favourite usually obliges; in a 17+ runner cavalry charge, 4 in 10 are won by a 10/1+ shot.
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Does top weight win handicaps?
Folklore says top weight is a burden. The data says the opposite — it wins more than its share.
Read the study →
The same engine, pointed at today's racing.

The model behind these studies scores every UK & Irish runner each morning and posts the standout pick free — logged before the off, settled in public.

Get today's free pick →