Worcester · 7:37pm

CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Hurdle 2m GOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 6.7) Class 4 4yo+ 8 runners

Clear read Square d'Alboni stands out on our figures.

This looks a tactical contest with no confirmed front-runner, so a muddling gallop is likely and tactical speed could prove important. Square d'Alboni stands out on recent form, posting an RPR of 132 and remaining open to further progress. Chemistry, who acts on good ground, drops in class and has a recent RPR of 109, making him the main danger. Scoro and Connemara Joe both recorded RPRs of 96 last time and weakened late on; Connemara Joe is likely to be held up based on breeding.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

No confirmed front-runner — likely a muddling, tactical gallop, where a handy early pitch and tactical speed matter.

Any unexposed improver?

Square d'Alboni is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Anyone well-treated?

Chemistry drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 0

—

Prominent 3

0Square d'Alboni

0Chemistry

0Imperial Trooper

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 3

0Connemara Joe

0Lamlash

0Baileys Big Image

Pace confidence: 62%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Square d'Alboni Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Dan Skelton · Jockey Harry Skelton

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

132 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 24% · Jockey 28%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 132

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

589371 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 2)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 24%, jockey 28%

Stable hot (5/23, 22%)

2 Chemistry Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Jennie Candlish · Jockey Sean Quinlan

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

109 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 16%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 72

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

8419219 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 5

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 5)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 16%

Drops in class (C2→C4)

3 Scoro Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer L J Morgan · Jockey Richie McLernon

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 16% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 96

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

46 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 16%, jockey 11%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Connemara Joe Held up, comes lateest

Stall 0 · Trainer Matt Sheppard · Jockey Stan Sheppard

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 16%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 96

most recent run

Last 2 starts — oldest to most recent

46 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 16%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Imperial Trooper Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Jennie Candlish · Jockey Ian Power

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

73 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 73

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6331565 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 7)

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 1)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 5%

6 Wait At The Gate Run-style unknown

Stall 0 · Trainer David Bridgwater · Jockey Brendan Powell

Has form to go on — placed in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

—

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

2412P last time ←

FitnessFreshened up — 53 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 15%

7 Lamlash Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Joe Tickle · Jockey Callum Pritchard

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

— improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 43

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

11PU6758 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 8%

Stable hot (2/7, 29%)

8 Baileys Big Image Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Max Young · Jockey Tabitha Worsley

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

—

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 1% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

—

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

839 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 2m (0 from 2)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 1%, jockey 7%

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.