Worcester · 6:27pm

CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

Chase 2m 7f GOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 6.7) Class 5 4yo+ 8 runners

Clear read I'm A Starman stands out on our figures.

Carpe Diem and School For Scandal are likely to set an even pace in this 2m 7f class 5 chase at Worcester. I'm A Starman stands out on recent figures, posting an RPR of 114, and drops in class for a yard with a positive record in such scenarios; he is also a course winner who handles good ground. Knightsbridge, another course winner proven on this surface, rates the main threat on a recent RPR of 103. Huckleberry Sting, who acts on good ground and was unlucky last time, and School For Scandal, who made the running before fading, are also noted.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Carpe Diem and School For Scandal should ensure an even gallop.

Anyone well-treated?

I'm A Starman drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 2

0School For Scandal

0Carpe Diem

Prominent 2

0I'm A Starman

0Knightsbridge

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 4

0Huckleberry Sting

0Henry Box Brown

0Elfride

0Stay Hopeful

Pace confidence: 100%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read I'm A Starman Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Mark Rimell · Jockey Sean Bowen

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

114 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 24%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 113

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

738452 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 3 of 9

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 8 around 2m 7f

CourseCourse winner — 2 from 5 here

FitnessFreshened up — 55 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 24%

Drops in class (C4→C5)

2 Knightsbridge Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · Jockey Jonjo O'Neill Jr.

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

103 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 14%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 103

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

389511 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 10

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 14%

Stable hot (3/10, 30%)

3 Huckleberry Sting Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer T Ellis · Jockey Jack Andrews

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

93 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 85

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

771231 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 2 of 7

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 7%

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

4 School For Scandal Likely to lead

Stall 0 · Trainer Joe Tickle · Jockey Callum Pritchard

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

89 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 81

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

745PU3PU last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 2 from 17

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 9 around 2m 7f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 4 here

FitnessFreshened up — 68 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 8%

Stable hot (2/7, 29%)Fresh (68d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Henry Box Brown Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Mrs C Williams · Jockey Ellis Collier(5)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

91 regressing

recent best — career high 102 in 2022

This track

Trainer 17% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 75

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3446UR6 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 22

DistanceUnproven at 2m 7f (0 from 3)

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 5 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 6%

6 Elfride Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Richard Phillips · Jockey Harry Atkins(5)

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

98 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 67

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

–PU69PU5 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 9)

DistanceHas won around 2m 7f — 1 from 11

FitnessReturns from 90 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 0%

Fresh (90d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Carpe Diem Likely to lead

Stall 0 · Trainer David Bridgwater · Jockey Tom Hutsby(7)

A model of consistency — placed in 6 of his last 6.

Ability rating

96 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 60

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

123222 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 9)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 7f (0 from 1)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 0%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 Stay Hopeful Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Henry Oliver · Jockey Lee Edwards

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

63 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 61

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

899467 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 7f (0 from 1)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 9%

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.