Worcester · 5:52pm

CopyBet BOG Today For Tomorrow's Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

Chase 2m 4f GOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 6.7) Class 5 4yo+ 6 runners

Clear read Thank You Blue stands out on our figures.

Thank You Blue is the only confirmed front-runner in this small field and could get a steady lead if left alone up front. Recent ratings put Thank You Blue clear on 120, with Thickthorn Tom next best on 102 and proven on good ground. Atreides, who posted a recent RPR of 106 and drops in class, often benefits from this trainer move but weakened late last time. Suttons Hill, rated 117, also drops in class and is likely to be held up based on breeding. Thickthorn Tom is the main danger to Thank You Blue on recent figures.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Thank You Blue is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Anyone well-treated?

Atreides drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

0Thank You Blue

Prominent 2

0Atreides

0Atlanta Brave

Mid-pack 1

0Keep Me Posted

Held up 2

0Thickthorn Tom

0Suttons Hill

Pace confidence: 67%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Thank You Blue Likely to lead

Stall 0 · Trainer Jennie Candlish · Jockey Ian Power

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

120 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 5%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 109

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1PU5PU43 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 18

DistanceHas won around 2m 4f — 3 from 18

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 5%

2 Thickthorn Tom Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Dan Skelton · Jockey Harry Skelton

Reliable and on the up — placed in 5 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

102 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 24% · Jockey 28%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 102

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

PU32121 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 3

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 2m 4f

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 4 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 24%, jockey 28%

Stable hot (5/23, 22%)

3 Atreides Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Neil Mulholland · Jockey Richie McLernon

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Drops in class, often a positive sign; the stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

106 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 106

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1UR2635 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 11)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 11 around 2m 4f

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 11%

Drops in class (C4→C5)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Suttons Hill Held up, comes lateest

Stall 0 · Trainer F Brennan · Jockey Joe Anderson(3)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

117 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 0% · Jockey 24%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

226PU–5 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 5)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4f (0 from 4)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 0%, jockey 24%

Drops in class (C4→C5)

5 Atlanta Brave Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Kerry Lee · Jockey Conor O'Farrell

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

130 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 23% · Jockey 13%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 60

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

UR85395 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 8)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 2m 4f

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 23%, jockey 13%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Keep Me Posted Settles midfieldest

Stall 0 · Trainer Matt Sheppard · Jockey Stan Sheppard

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

76 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 16%

strike rate at Worcester

Last time out

RPR 52

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

8988811 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 3)

FitnessFreshened up — 53 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 16%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.