Killarney · 7:20pm

Kerry Drains Handicap Hurdle

Hurdle 2m 1f GOOD 4yo+ 15 runners

Tight read Kamino Bello just edges it from Kilt and Regards To Rose — top 3 covered by 8 RPR.

Regards To Rose is the only confirmed front-runner and could get a steady lead if left alone, though stamina over this trip remains unproven. The race looks tightly matched at the top, with Kamino Bello and Kilt both posting recent RPRs of 118 and separated by less than a length on the figures. Kilt is the main danger to Kamino Bello, with form trending upward, but did weaken late last time. Party President and Regards To Rose both come in with recent RPRs of 110 and also faded in the closing stages on their latest starts. With the likely pace scenario, the leader’s tactics could play a significant role in the outcome.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Regards To Rose is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does Kamino Bello stay 2m 1f?

It's the highest-rated but unproven beyond today's trip — a stamina question over this distance.

Who's the main danger?

Kilt is the chief threat to Kamino Bello, with the form figures climbing — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

0Regards To Rose

Prominent 4

0Kamino Bello

0Claude

0Mc Swagger

0Midnight Eagle

Mid-pack 3

0Kingdom Calling

0Home By The Sea

0Katakana

Held up 7

0Kilt

0Party President

0Secret Rock

0Lips Freedom

0Corkbeg

0Kabylia

0Rattledelatch

Pace confidence: 100%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Kamino Bello Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Gavin Cromwell · Jockey Eoghan Finegan(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

118 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 110

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

6156116 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 0%

2 Kilt Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer P J Rothwell · Jockey Shane O'Callaghan(3)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

118 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 6% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 118

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

8971214 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 5

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 4 around 2m 1f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 6%, jockey 11%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

3 Regards To Rose Likely to lead

Stall 0 · Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Jockey G B Noonan

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

110 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 110

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

435189 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 2)

Course3 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 6%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

4 Party President Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer A D Leahy · Jockey Dylan O'Connor(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

110 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 0% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 110

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1159–26 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 2m 1f

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 0%, jockey 0%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

5 Claude Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Sarah Joanna Connell · Jockey Aidan Kelly

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

115 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 20% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 84

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1367PU11 last time ←

GroundProven on good — won 1 of 4

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 4 around 2m 1f

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 67 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 20%, jockey 7%

Fresh (67d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Kingdom Calling Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Jockey Daniel King

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

109 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 109

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

97PU10610 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 6)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 7)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 15%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

7 Secret Rock Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Cian Collins · Jockey Eoin Walsh

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

103 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 90

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

4536101 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 6

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 2)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

FitnessFreshened up — 46 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 6%

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

8 Mc Swagger Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Jockey Thomas O'Connor(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

101 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 29%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 91

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

439UR910 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 3)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 29%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

9 Lips Freedom Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Andrew Kinirons · Jockey Donagh Meyler

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

97 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 3% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 97

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

11121113111 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 2)

FitnessReturns from 109 days off the track

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 3%, jockey 11%

Fresh (109d)

10 Home By The Sea Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer P A Fahy · Jockey Richard Condon(5)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

100 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 2%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 100

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

511124 last time ←

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 2%

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

11 Katakana Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer Henry De Bromhead · Jockey Darragh O'Keeffe

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

109 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 83

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

31469112 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 6)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 5)

FitnessBack from a long absence — 244 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 12%

Long layoff (244d)

12 Corkbeg Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer David Harry Kelly · Jockey Cian Quirke

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

92 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 6%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 78

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

4232109 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 16

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 4 around 2m 1f

Course2 runs at the track without winning

FitnessBack from a long absence — 277 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 6%

Long layoff (277d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

13 Kabylia Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Gavin Cromwell · Jockey Keith Donoghue

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6.

Ability rating

111 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 69

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

2231469 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 5)

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 4)

FitnessFreshened up — 51 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 11%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

14 Midnight Eagle Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer Andrew McNamara · Jockey Phillip Enright

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

93 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 66

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

9151214310 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 7

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 4)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 9%

15 Rattledelatch Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer John Queally · Jockey John Shinnick

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 14% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 28

most recent run

Last 4 starts — oldest to most recent

PU1696 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 1f (0 from 1)

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 14%, jockey 9%

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.