Killarney · 5:05pm

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Hurdle 2m 4½f GOOD 4yo+ · M 6 runners

Clear read Diamond Du Berlais stands out on our figures. Field updated — 1 non-runner removed.

Run For Mahler and Birdie Or Bust are likely to set an even pace in this 2m 4½f hurdle at Killarney. Diamond Du Berlais stands out on profile and is open to further progress, though remains unproven over this trip after weakening late last time. Murcia rates the main danger, coming in with a recent RPR of 139 and typically racing mid-pack. Birdie Or Bust, a course winner, and Grainne A Chroi are also in the mix on recent figures.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Run For Mahler and Birdie Or Bust should ensure an even gallop.

Does Murcia stay 2m 4½f?

It's the highest-rated but unproven beyond today's trip — a stamina question over this distance.

Any unexposed improver?

Diamond Du Berlais is lightly-raced with a profile to progress — the type to respect on potential.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 2

0Birdie Or Bust

0Run For Mahler

Prominent 1

0Diamond Du Berlais

Mid-pack 1

0Murcia

Held up 2

0Grainne A Chroi

0Taketwotoone

Pace confidence: 100%

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Diamond Du Berlais Races prominently

Stall 0 · Trainer W P Mullins · Jockey Brian Hayes

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

127 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 26% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 118

most recent run

Last 3 starts — oldest to most recent

164 last time ←

GroundBred for it — the sire's runners strike at 14.3% on good

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 1 around 2m 4½f

FitnessFreshened up — 77 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 26%, jockey 9%

Fresh (77d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

2 Murcia Settles midfield

Stall 0 · Trainer W P Mullins · Jockey Paul Townend

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

139 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 26% · Jockey 35%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 88

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

34155161 last time ←

FitnessFreshened up — 47 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 26%, jockey 35%

3 Birdie Or Bust Likely to lead

Stall 0 · Trainer Henry De Bromhead · Jockey Harry Cobden

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6.

Ability rating

134 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 34%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 90

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

7129PU3 last time ←

GroundHas won on good — 1 from 6

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 2 around 2m 4½f

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 34%

4 Grainne A Chroi Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer Miss M Harding · Jockey Alan O'Sullivan(5)

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6.

Ability rating

131 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 8% · Jockey 15%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 74

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1421PU3 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 1 of 3 around 2m 4½f

FitnessFreshened up — 47 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 8%, jockey 15%

5 Run For Mahler Likely to lead

Stall 0 · Trainer C Byrnes · Jockey Phillip Enright

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

118 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 17% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 66

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

212196 last time ←

GroundYet to win on good (0 from 4)

FitnessFreshened up — 47 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 17%, jockey 9%

Stable hot (3/11, 27%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Taketwotoone Held up, comes late

Stall 0 · Trainer T O'Connor · Jockey Mr T O'Connor(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

93 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer % · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Killarney

Last time out

RPR 78

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

314813128 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 2m 4½f (0 from 1)

FitnessBack from a long absence — 189 days off, fitness to prove

ConnectionsAt this course: jockey 0%, this jockey-trainer team 0%

Long layoff (189d)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.