Hamilton · 2:15pm

Wellman Cars Hamilton Handicap Stakes

Flat (Turf) 5f GOOD TO FIRM, Good in places (GoingStick: 8.3) Class 6 3yo+ 8 runners

Clear read Classy Clarets stands out on our figures.

You Mystify Me is the only confirmed front-runner in this eight-runner field and is likely to set a steady pace if left alone. Low draws hold a clear advantage over this 5f trip at Hamilton, with an impact value of 1.19 and a 53% average of beating rivals. Classy Clarets stands out on recent form, posting an RPR of 65 and is already a course winner. Great Profit (RPR 62) rates the main danger, while Henery Hawk (RPR 61) had excuses last time after meeting trouble in running. Wee Mary, also on 61, drops in class, which is often a positive trainer move.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

You Mystify Me is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does the draw matter?

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Hamilton (impact value 1.19, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Anyone well-treated?

Wee Mary drops in class — often a positive trainer angle.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

5You Mystify Me

Prominent 3

2Wee Mary

1Sixcor

4Fear And Fast

Mid-pack 0

—

Held up 4

7Classy Clarets

3Great Profit

8Henery Hawk

6Realistic Dream

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

Low draws are favoured over sprint at Hamilton (impact value 1.19, beating 53% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.19

53% rivals beaten · n=163

Mid draw

IV 1.12

50% rivals beaten · n=181

High draw

IV 1.0

48% rivals beaten · n=235

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Classy Clarets Held up, comes late

Stall 7 · Trainer Iain Jardine · Jockey Jack Nicholls(5)

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

65 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 10%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 65

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

245111 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 7

DistanceHas won around 5f — 2 from 16

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 2 here

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 2 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 10%

DrawDrawn 7 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.0)

2 Great Profit Held up, comes late

Stall 3 · Trainer Gary Harrison · Jockey Barry McHugh

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

62 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 2% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 62

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

76482 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 5f (0 from 3)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 2%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 3 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.12)

3 Henery Hawk Held up, comes late

Stall 8 · Trainer Linda Perratt · Jockey David Allan

Reliable and on the up — placed in 4 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

61 improving

recent best — career high 74 in 2024

This track

Trainer 5% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 57

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

3613103 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 8)

DistanceHas won around 5f — 7 from 46

Course4 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 5%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 8 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.0)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

4 Wee Mary Races prominently

Stall 2 · Trainer Jim Goldie · Jockey Paul Mulrennan

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6. Drops in class, often a positive sign.

Ability rating

61 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 48

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

216247 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 5)

DistanceHas won around 5f — 2 from 26

Course1 run at the track without winning

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 3 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.19)

Drops in class (C5→C6)

5 Sixcor Races prominently

Stall 1 · Trainer Linda Perratt · Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

58 regressing

recent best — career high 70 in 2022

This track

Trainer 5% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 37

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

895375 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 16

DistanceHas won around 5f — 7 from 70

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 9 here

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 5 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 5%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — favoured here (impact value 1.19)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

6 Realistic Dream Held up, comes late

Stall 6 · Trainer Iain Jardine · Jockey Greg Fairley

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

57 steady

recent best — career high 68 in 2025

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 2%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 39

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

659567 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 5f (0 from 4)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 5 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 2%

DrawDrawn 6 (high third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.0)

7 Fear And Fast Races prominently

Stall 4 · Trainer Jim Goldie · Jockey Sam James

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

54 improving

recent best — career high 70 in 2024

This track

Trainer 11% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 42

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

679865 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 6)

DistanceUnproven at 5f (0 from 15)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 11%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 4 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.12)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

8 You Mystify Me Likely to lead

Stall 5 · Trainer Michael & David Easterby · Jockey Billy Garritty

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back. Met trouble in running last time, so he's better than that result looks.

Ability rating

59 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Hamilton

Last time out

RPR 26

most recent run

Last 5 starts — oldest to most recent

3210610 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 5f (0 from 4)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.12)

Met trouble in running last time — better than the bare result

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.