Chepstow · 4:25pm

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Flat (Turf) 7f GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.9) Class 6 4yo+ 12 runners

Tight read Green Icon just edges it from King Of The Dance and Autumn Angel — top 3 covered by 7 RPR. Field updated — 2 non-runners removed.

Weston Court is the only confirmed front-runner and may be able to set a steady pace if left alone up front. High draws hold a statistical edge over mid at Chepstow, with an impact value of 1.22 and a tendency to beat half the field on average. The race looks tightly matched at the top, with Green Icon and King Of The Dance separated by less than a length on recent figures. King Of The Dance, a course winner, is the main danger to Green Icon. Autumn Angel and Tomarlo are also in the mix, both typically held up and close on ratings.

The key questions

How will the race be run?

Weston Court is the only confirmed front-runner, so expect a steady gallop the leader can control — a powerful setup if left alone up front.

Does the draw matter?

High draws are favoured over mid at Chepstow (impact value 1.22, beating 50% of rivals on average).

Who's the main danger?

King Of The Dance is the chief threat to Green Icon, with the form figures climbing — and on our figures there's barely a length between them.

Pace map — who goes forward, who waits

Leads 1

6Weston Court

Prominent 1

1Romanovich

Mid-pack 1

3King Of The Dance

Held up 9

5Green Icon

4Autumn Angel

10Tomarlo

11Ajrad

2Ravenglass

13Scarfo

8Too Much Trevor

7Ten Club

14Poet

Pace confidence: 100%

Draw & pace bias — impact value >1.0 = favoured

High draws are favoured over mid at Chepstow (impact value 1.22, beating 50% of rivals on average).

Low draw

IV 1.09

48% rivals beaten · n=157

Mid draw

IV 0.85

51% rivals beaten · n=178

High draw

IV 1.22

50% rivals beaten · n=239

What the data likes (our composite read — not tips)

No. 1 read Green Icon Held up, comes late

Stall 5 · Trainer John & Rhys Flint · Jockey Charles Bishop

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

80 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 5% · Jockey 7%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 53

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

20111918813 last time ←

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 2 of 10 around 7f

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 5%, jockey 7%

DrawDrawn 5 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

2 King Of The Dance Settles midfield

Stall 3 · Trainer Bernard Llewellyn · Jockey Alexandra Egan(7)

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

60 improving

recent best — career high 72 in 2023

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 60

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

434452 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 6

DistanceHas won around 7f — 1 from 16

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 7 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 3 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.09)

3 Autumn Angel Held up, comes late

Stall 4 · Trainer Tony Carroll · Jockey Rossa Ryan

A model of consistency — placed in 4 of his last 6.

Ability rating

59 steady

recent best — career high 70 in 2023

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 21%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 56

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

371422 last time ←

DistanceHas won around 7f — 1 from 21

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 5 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 21%

DrawDrawn 4 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.09)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

4 Tomarlo Held up, comes late

Stall 10 · Trainer Ollie Sangster · Jockey Billy Loughnane

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

60 improving

recent best — career high 71 in 2025

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 19%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 55

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

7710431 last time ←

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 5)

Course1 run at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 19%

DrawDrawn 10 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.22)

5 Ajrad Held up, comes late

Stall 11 · Trainer Rod Millman · Jockey Lewis Edmunds

Holds solid claims on these figures. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

59 steady

recent best — career high 79 in 2020

This track

Trainer 10% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 52

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

986565 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 2 from 16

DistanceHas won around 7f — 4 from 51

CourseCourse winner — 3 from 9 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 10%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 11 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.22)

Stable hot (5/20, 25%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

6 Ravenglass Held up, comes late

Stall 2 · Trainer Adrian Wintle · Jockey Joe Leavy

Holds solid claims on these figures. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

60 steady

recent best — career high 78 in 2022

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 9%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 50

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

447624 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 11

DistanceHas won around 7f — 2 from 27

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 6 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 9%

DrawDrawn 2 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.09)

Stable hot (3/7, 43%)

7 Scarfo Held up, comes late

Stall 13 · Trainer Bernard Llewellyn · Jockey Charlie Tucker(7)

Reliable and on the up — placed in 3 of his last 6, with the form figures climbing.

Ability rating

53 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 0%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 53

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

1379132 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 4)

DistanceHas won around 7f — 1 from 11

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 6 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 0%

DrawDrawn 13 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.22)

Kept on last time — a stronger gallop or longer trip may suit

8 Too Much Trevor Held up, comes late

Stall 8 · Trainer Grace Harris · Jockey Ashley Lewis(5)

A model of consistency — placed in 3 of his last 6.

Ability rating

59 steady

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 16%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 50

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

523144 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 7)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 15)

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 14 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 16%

DrawDrawn 8 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

9 Ten Club Held up, comes late

Stall 7 · Trainer Adrian Wintle · Jockey Finley Marsh

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb. The stable is in good heart at the track.

Ability rating

67 improving

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 9% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 44

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

111101175 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 3)

DistanceHas won around 7f — 1 from 10

CourseCourse winner — 1 from 5 here

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 9%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 7 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

Stable hot (3/7, 43%)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

10 Romanovich Races prominently

Stall 1 · Trainer John O'Shea · Jockey William Carson

Form has dipped a little of late, so needs to bounce back.

Ability rating

64 regressing

Racing Post Rating, recent form

This track

Trainer 13% · Jockey 8%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 40

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

516357 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 1 from 9

DistanceEffective at the trip — won 5 of 24 around 7f

CourseCourse winner — 4 from 14 here

FitnessFreshened up — 48 days since his last run

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 13%, jockey 8%

DrawDrawn 1 (low third) — a fair draw (impact value 1.09)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

11 Weston Court Likely to lead

Stall 6 · Trainer R Harris · Jockey Luke Morris

Holds solid claims on these figures.

Ability rating

47 steady

recent best — career high 58 in 2024

This track

Trainer 0% · Jockey 12%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 39

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

986524 last time ←

GroundHas won on firm — 2 from 12

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 7)

Course5 runs at the track without winning

FitnessQuick turnaround — back within 1 days

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 0%, jockey 12%

DrawDrawn 6 (mid third) — a fair draw (impact value 0.85)

Weakened in the closing stages last time

12 Poet Held up, comes late

Stall 14 · Trainer Scott Dixon · Jockey Kieran O'Neill

Going the right way — the form figures are on the climb.

Ability rating

39 improving

recent best — career high 79 in 2021

This track

Trainer 7% · Jockey 11%

strike rate at Chepstow

Last time out

RPR 36

most recent run

Last 6 starts — oldest to most recent

9910977 last time ←

GroundYet to win on firm (0 from 4)

DistanceUnproven at 7f (0 from 14)

Course2 runs at the track without winning

ConnectionsAt this course: trainer 7%, jockey 11%

DrawDrawn 14 (high third) — favoured here (impact value 1.22)

Figures from results history (RPR/TS), pace from running-style history, connections from trainer/jockey stats, breeding from sire aptitude. Shrunk for small samples. Information only, not betting advice. 18+. BeGambleAware.org.