Over this period Caron Paul Chapman has won 61 of 383 races (a 15.9% strike rate, an actual/expected ratio of 1.06 versus the market). Full breakdown by course, going and recent form below.
Optima's AI scores all UK & Irish racing daily and sends a verified pick to your Telegram at 11am — logged before the off, settled from official data. Free pick every day, no card needed.
Get today's free pick on Telegram →| Course | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 39 | 8 | 20.5% |
| Newcastle (AW) | 30 | 3 | 10.0% |
| Wetherby | 27 | 3 | 11.1% |
| Carlisle | 20 | 1 | 5.0% |
| Hamilton | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| Thirsk | 17 | 2 | 11.8% |
| Haydock | 15 | 2 | 13.3% |
| Beverley | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Newcastle | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| Pontefract | 13 | 1 | 7.7% |
| Ayr | 13 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kelso | 11 | 1 | 9.1% |
| Hexham | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| York | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| Redcar | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 90 | 18 | 20.0% |
| Good to soft | 74 | 13 | 17.6% |
| Soft | 69 | 11 | 15.9% |
| Good to firm | 53 | 6 | 11.3% |
| Standard | 32 | 3 | 9.4% |
| Soft | 18 | 1 | 5.6% |
| Good | 16 | 4 | 25.0% |
| Heavy | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
Optima Racing scores every UK & Irish runner each morning — model-ranked, verified, in your Telegram by 11am.
Free daily pick on Telegram — no card → See today's full tips →| Horse | Runs | Wins | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spinner (GB) | 22 | 9 | 40.9% |
| Shared Equity (GB) | 25 | 2 | 8.0% |
| Fringill Dike (IRE) | 41 | 12 | 29.3% |
| Air Raid (GB) | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| More Mischief (GB) | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| Miah Grace (GB) | 20 | 5 | 25.0% |
| Inappropriate (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 12.5% |
| Sovereign Bounty (GB) | 19 | 4 | 21.1% |
| Armed Response (GB) | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Laila Honiwillow (GB) | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Waterclock (IRE) | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Notimeforanother (IRE) | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| Date | Course | Horse | Finish | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | Fringill Dike (IRE) | 2 | 1.8 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell (AW) | Lillie Margot (GB) | 3 | 10.0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | Fringill Dike (IRE) | 1 | 6.0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | Lillie Margot (GB) | 1 | 6.0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | Ashdown Forest (IRE) | 9 | 17.0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | Fringill Dike (IRE) | 6 | 13.0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | Inappropriate (IRE) | 6 | 11.0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | Lillie Margot (GB) | 2 | 19.0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thirsk | Ashdown Forest (IRE) | 4 | 7.5 |
| 2026-04-22 | Perth | Fringill Dike (IRE) | 4 | 11.0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | Lillie Margot (GB) | 7 | 23.0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Newcastle | Inappropriate (IRE) | 2 | 21.0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | Ashdown Forest (IRE) | 5 | 9.5 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wetherby | Ashdown Forest (IRE) | 6 | 4.5 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fakenham | Inappropriate (IRE) | 5 | 15.0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Newcastle (AW) | Inappropriate (IRE) | 4 | 5.0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Newcastle (AW) | Inappropriate (IRE) | 2 | 15.0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Wetherby | Ashdown Forest (IRE) | 7 | 41.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Musselburgh | Ashdown Forest (IRE) | 7 | 15.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Newcastle (AW) | Inappropriate (IRE) | 6 | 21.0 |
Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015-01-21–2026-07-05. Strike rate and ROI are historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.