★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  ★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  
Optima RacingHorses › Value At Risk (GB)

Value At Risk (GB)

10yo gelding · Form & record 2015-01-24 to 2019-08-02 — from our verified UK & Irish results database. Trained by Dan Skelton.
Pedigree Kayf Tara (GB) × ?
Ratings Official 129 · best RPR 149 · best TS 143
29
Runs
5
Wins
17.2%
Strike rate
37.9%
Place rate
0.79
Actual / Expected
-11.2%
Level-stake ROI

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Full form — last 29 runs

Btn = beaten lengths · OR = official rating · RPR = Racing Post Rating · TS = Topspeed. Blank cells are values we don't hold for that run — never a zero.
DateOffCourseDistGoingCl PosBtnJockeyWgt ORRPRTSSP
2019-08-02 26d Bangor-on-Dee 24f Good 3 6/9 Harry Skelton tb 161 129 115 105 6/1
Family Evening 19th August Handicap Chase
2019-07-07 51d Market Rasen 21.5f Good 3 4/6 Harry Skelton 160 131 120 81 5/4
Farmer Steves Handicap Chase
2019-05-17 13d Aintree 20f Good 3 3/6 Harry Skelton 154 132 136 123 2/1
racingtv.com Handicap Chase
2019-05-04 22d Uttoxeter 24f Good 2 5/13 Harry Skelton 159 133 134 86 16/1
bet365 Staffordshire Plate (An Open Handicap Chase)
2019-04-12 27d Ayr 20.5f Good 1 3/13 Bridget Andrews 147 133 136 85 14/1
Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase ()
2019-03-16 14d Kempton 20.5f Soft 2 6/9 Bridget Andrews p 163 134 127 85 16/1
Matchbook Silver Bowl Handicap Chase
2019-03-02 44d Newbury 20f Soft 1 9/16 William Marshall 136 134 122 95 14/1
William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase
2019-01-17 12d Market Rasen 19f Soft 3 1/7 William Marshall 159 132 145 116 7/1
Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase (Challenger Middle Distance Chase Series Qualifier)
2019-01-05 21d Wincanton 20f Good 2 5/7 Bridget Andrews 152 135 117 71 10/1
BetVictor Guaranteed Run For Your Money Handicap Chase
2018-12-15 22d Doncaster 19f Good 3 3/4 Bridget Andrews p 156 136 131 89 10/3
bet365.com Handicap Chase
2018-11-23 26d Ascot 21f Good 2 5/10 Harry Skelton b 159 138 128 101 9/1
Waitrose & Partners Handicap Chase
2018-10-28 191d Aintree 20f Good 1 8/8 Harry Skelton 144 138 120 78 13/2
Monets Garden Old Roan Limited Handicap Chase
2018-04-20 54d Ayr 20.5f Good 1 1/12 Harry Skelton 151 130 138 88 5/1
Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase ()
2018-02-25 15d Fontwell 19f Soft 1 5/8 Bridget Andrews 157 145 130 124 28/1
totepool National Spirit Hurdle
2018-02-10 57d Warwick 20f Soft 2 6/7 Harry Skelton b 147 132 115 40 15/8
All Cheltenham Live On Racing UK Warwick Castle Handicap Chase
2017-12-15 20d Doncaster 19.5f Good 3 1/10 Harry Skelton b 166 140 146 142 5/1
grandnational.fans Handicap Hurdle
2017-11-25 14d Haydock 19f Heavy 2 7/9 Harry Skelton 162 145 97 93 7/1
Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle
2017-11-11 198d Aintree 20f Soft 2 2/3 Harry Skelton 152 146 125 16/1
Read Noel Fehily At 188Bet Hurdle
2017-04-27 19d Perth 20f Good 2 5/7 Harry Skelton tp 161 134 113 69 13/8
All New Discovery River Tay Handicap Chase
2017-04-08 165d Aintree 25f Good 1 7/16 Harry Skelton p 156 138 116 75 8/1
Betway Handicap Chase ()
2016-10-25 23d Bangor-on-Dee 20.5f Good 4 1/4 Harry Skelton 152 138 142 117 EVS
Download The Timeform App Novices Chase
2016-10-02 188d Uttoxeter 20f Soft 3 4/6 Harry Skelton 158 146 120 99 4/7
Avonside Suppliers Beginners Chase
2016-03-28 46d Fairyhouse 20f Soft 1/8 Harry Skelton 157 144 149 73 11/4
Keelings Irish Strawberry Hurdle
2016-02-11 19d Huntingdon 19.5f Soft 2 2/13 Harry Skelton 160 139 149 143 9/2
32Red.com Handicap Hurdle
2016-01-23 17d Ascot 19.5f Soft 1 9/17 Ian Popham 157 142 126 78 8/1
40 Years of Keltbray Holloways Handicap Hurdle
2016-01-06 41d Huntingdon 23.5f Soft 4 99/5 Harry Skelton 154 11/10
Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Novices Chase
2015-11-26 258d Newbury 23.5f Soft 1 99/7 Harry Skelton 156 2/1
bet365 Novices Chase (Registered as The Worcester Novices Chase)
2015-03-13 48d Cheltenham 24f Soft 1 5/19 Harry Skelton 161 144 139 116 8/1
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle (Registered As The Spa Novices Hurdle) Grade 1
2015-01-24 DEB Cheltenham 20.5f Soft 1 2/9 Harry Skelton 163 143 120 11/10
Neptune Investment Management Novices Hurdle (Registered as The Classic Novices Hurdle)

Record by layoff

Days since the previous run. Does this one go well fresh, or need a run? Career debut excluded — no prior run means no layoff.
Time since last runRunsWinsSR
Quick (under 2wk)4125.0%
Normal (2-4wk)12216.7%
Freshened (1-2m)7228.6%
Layoff (2-6m)100.0%
Long break (6m+)400.0%

Record by class

ClassRunsWinsSR
Class 110110.0%
Class 2900.0%
Class 37228.6%
Class 42150.0%

Record by distance

TripRunsWinsSR
Staying (13f+)29517.2%

Record by going

GoingRunsWinsSR
Soft14214.3%
Good14321.4%

Record by course

CourseRunsWinsSR
Aintree400.0%

We score Value At Risk (GB) against the whole field — every time it runs

Every UK & Irish runner model-ranked each morning, verified before the off, in your Telegram by 11am.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015-01-24–2019-08-02. Historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.