★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  ★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  
Optima RacingHorses › Probability (IRE)

Probability (IRE)

3yo filly · Form & record 2018-05-31 to 2019-09-20 — from our verified UK & Irish results database. Trained by Archie Watson.
Pedigree Moohaajim (IRE) × ?
Ratings Official 88 · best RPR 92 · best TS 83
14
Runs
5
Wins
35.7%
Strike rate
57.1%
Place rate
2.0
Actual / Expected
141.4%
Level-stake ROI

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Full form — last 14 runs

Btn = beaten lengths · OR = official rating · RPR = Racing Post Rating · TS = Topspeed. Blank cells are values we don't hold for that run — never a zero.
DateOffCourseDistGoingCl PosBtnJockeyWgt ORRPRTSSP
2019-09-20 20d Ayr 5.5f Good 1 16/16 Richard Kingscote 124 88 52 28 33/1
Al Maktoum Cup Arran Scottish Fillies Sprint Stakes ()
2019-08-31 15d Wolverhampton (AW) 5f Standard 3 7/7 Miss Kate Leahy 120 88 80 48 7/2
Premier Suppliers Of Business Furniture deskstor.co.uk Handicap
2019-08-16 23d Chelmsford (AW) 5f Standard 3 2/7 Hollie Doyle 132 88 92 70 9/2
Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap
2019-07-24 34d Naas 6f Good 9/17 Gary Carroll 126 89 84 58 20/1
Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes () (Fillies & Mares)
2019-06-20 26d Chelmsford (AW) 6f Standard 3 4/10 Hollie Doyle 132 89 91 83 12/1
Lifehouse Spa Day Fillies Handicap
2019-05-25 32d Chester 6f Good 4 1/9 Hollie Doyle 133 85 91 81 8/1
Chester Heritage Festival Fillies Handicap
2019-04-23 11d Lingfield (AW) 6f Standard 4 5/7 Ben Curtis 133 85 78 45 3/1
Download The Star Sports App Now! Handicap
2019-04-12 13d Kempton (AW) 6f Standard 4 1/10 Edward Greatrex 130 82 86 34 7/1
32Red.com Handicap
2019-03-30 44d Kempton (AW) 6f Standard 4 1/12 Ben Curtis 126 78 84 62 8/1
Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap
2019-02-14 12d Chelmsford (AW) 6f Standard 5 1/5 Edward Greatrex 133 73 78 63 5/1
Extra Places At totesport.com Handicap
2019-02-02 14d Kempton (AW) 6f Standard 5 3/8 Edward Greatrex 133 73 70 44 5/2
32Red Casino Handicap
2019-01-19 17d Lingfield (AW) 6f Standard 6 1/8 Edward Greatrex 119 74 40 4/5
Betway Median Auction Maiden Stakes
2019-01-02 216d Wolverhampton (AW) 6f Standard 5 2/13 Edward Greatrex 119 69 54 10/1
Betway Novice Stakes
2018-05-31 DEB Chelmsford (AW) 6f Standard 4 10/12 Edward Greatrex 123 43 22 3/1
£20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10 Race)

Record by layoff

Days since the previous run. Does this one go well fresh, or need a run? Career debut excluded — no prior run means no layoff.
Time since last runRunsWinsSR
Quick (under 2wk)4250.0%
Normal (2-4wk)5120.0%
Freshened (1-2m)3266.7%
Long break (6m+)100.0%

Record by class

ClassRunsWinsSR
Class 3300.0%
Class 45360.0%
Class 53133.3%

Record by distance

TripRunsWinsSR
Sprint (5-6f)14535.7%

Record by going

GoingRunsWinsSR
Standard11436.4%
Good3133.3%

Record by course

CourseRunsWinsSR
Chelmsford (AW)4125.0%
Kempton (AW)3266.7%

We score Probability (IRE) against the whole field — every time it runs

Every UK & Irish runner model-ranked each morning, verified before the off, in your Telegram by 11am.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2018-05-31–2019-09-20. Historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.