★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  ★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  
Optima RacingHorses › Hard To Believe (IRE)

Hard To Believe (IRE)

3yo b g · Form & record 2025-09-12 to 2026-07-04 — from our verified UK & Irish results database. Trained by Andrew Balding.
Pedigree Make Believe (GB) × Heat Of The Day (GB) (by Ravens Pass)
OwnerJayar Investments Mrs L E Ramsden
BreederGodolphin
Ratings Official 83 · best RPR 89 · best TS 68
6
Runs
3
Wins
50.0%
Strike rate
66.7%
Place rate
1.47
Actual / Expected
13.8%
Level-stake ROI

We grade every runner like this — then send you the bet.

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Full form — last 6 runs

Btn = beaten lengths · OR = official rating · RPR = Racing Post Rating · TS = Topspeed. Blank cells are values we don't hold for that run — never a zero.
DateOffCourseDistGoingCl PosBtnJockeyWgt ORRPRTSSP
2026-07-04 15d Newmarket (July) 14f Firm 2 3/7 1.5 Jason Watson 128 83 89 68 9/2
Flat Turf Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Held up in rear - headway over 2f out - went third over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong(tchd 4/1)
2026-06-19 36d Newmarket (July) 12f Good 4 1/6 0 Rob Hornby 135 80 78 61 9/4F
Flat Turf Zyn Frontrunner Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Tracked the leader - driven along 3f out - gained the advantage inside the final furlong - drifted left - held on under pressure
2026-05-14 52d York 12f Good 4 7/16 0.5 Oisin Murphy 135 80 77 64 2/1F
Flat Turf Frank Whittle Partnership Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Midfield - headway over 3f out - on near side of group when hung left and weakened gradually from 2f out(op 5/2)
2026-03-23 165d Wolverhampton (AW) 9.5f Standard 4 1/5 0 Oisin Murphy 133 77 79 44 4/6
Flat AW Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (GBB Race) Made all - raced wide early - pushed along over 1f out - kept on well(tchd 8/11)
2025-10-09 27d Bath 8f Soft 5 1/10 0 Oisin Murphy 131 74 63 10/11
Flat Turf BetWright Bet The Wright Way EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (GBB Race) (Div I) Prominent - ridden 2f out - went second 1f out - led final 110yds - kept on well(op 11/8 tchd 13/8)
2025-09-12 DEB Salisbury 8f Heavy 4 6/10 0.5 Rob Hornby 127 55 51 10/1
Flat Turf Skytree Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A B C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) In touch with leaders - weakened from over 2f out(op 12/1)

Record by layoff

Days since the previous run. Does this one go well fresh, or need a run? Career debut excluded — no prior run means no layoff.
Time since last runRunsWinsSR
Normal (2-4wk)2150.0%
Freshened (1-2m)2150.0%
Layoff (2-6m)11100.0%

Record by class

ClassRunsWinsSR
Class 44250.0%

Record by distance

TripRunsWinsSR
Mile (7-9f)3266.7%
Middle (10-12f)2150.0%

We score Hard To Believe (IRE) against the whole field — every time it runs

Every UK & Irish runner model-ranked each morning, verified before the off, in your Telegram by 11am.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2025-09-12–2026-07-04. Historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.