★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  ★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  
Optima RacingHorses › Happenstance (IRE)

Happenstance (IRE)

3yo gelding · Form & record 2022-09-25 to 2023-12-20 — from our verified UK & Irish results database. Trained by Patrick J Flynn.
Pedigree Camacho (GB) × Adelasia (IRE) (by Iffraaj)
OwnerMrs Patrick J Flynn
Ratings Official 47 · best RPR 70 · best TS 48
15
Runs
1
Wins
6.7%
Strike rate
6.7%
Place rate
1.38
Actual / Expected
-36.7%
Level-stake ROI

We grade every runner like this — then send you the bet.

Optima's AI scores all UK & Irish racing daily and sends a verified pick to your Telegram at 11am — logged before the off, settled from official data. Free pick every day, no card needed.

Get today's free pick on Telegram →

Full form — last 15 runs

Btn = beaten lengths · OR = official rating · RPR = Racing Post Rating · TS = Topspeed. Blank cells are values we don't hold for that run — never a zero.
DateOffCourseDistGoingCl PosBtnJockeyWgt ORRPRTSSP
2023-12-20 10d Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard 13/14 0.3 Chris Hayes 124 47 22 4 25/1
Flat AW Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (Div I) Never better than midfield - weakened over 1f out
2023-12-10 24d Cork 17f Heavy 5/10 16 Shane Fitzgerald 154 70 3 100/1
Hurdle Turf Bar One Racing Bet 10 Euros Get 50 Euros Sign Up Offer 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle In rear - awkward jump 1st - in touch with leaders 4 out - outpaced from 3 out (jockey said gelding ran free)(op 200/1 tchd 66/1)
2023-11-16 15d Punchestown 16.5f Soft 8/13 2.75 G B Noonan 149 69 44 125/1
Hurdle Turf Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle Led - took keen hold and clear from 2nd - jumped slightly left 4th - reduced lead 3 out - headed 2 out - weakened quickly before last (jockey said gelding ran keen through the early stages of this race)(op 50/1)
2023-11-01 112d Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard 11/14 4.5 Alan Persse 117 48 32 9 18/1
Flat AW Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I) Soon prominent on inner - weakened gradually from over 2f out(op 20/1)
2023-07-12 19d Fairyhouse 7f Good 7/16 Alan Persse b 112 49 46 21 14/1
Coast To Curragh Cycle August 26th Handicap (Div I)
2023-06-23 22d Limerick 8f Soft 8/15 Alan Persse 117 47 44 12 14/1
Ballyduane Stud Handicap
2023-06-01 16d Fairyhouse 6f Good 4/15 Alan Persse 115 47 50 24 12/1
Racing At Fairyhouse For The Next 2 Fridays Handicap
2023-05-16 13d Sligo 6f Good 7/10 Alan Persse 116 50 41 13 14/1
Wildroots Festival Handicap
2023-05-03 14d Gowran Park 8f Soft 12/13 Robyn Donaghue-Leahy 120 53 21 16/1
Gowran Park Golf Club Apprentice Handicap
2023-04-19 147d Gowran Park 7f Soft 6/16 Alan Persse 119 53 45 26 12/1
Dining Packages At Gowran Park Handicap
2022-11-23 14d Dundalk (AW) 7f Standard 1/13 Alan Persse 117 50 56 48 17/2
irishinjuredjockeys.com Nursery Handicap
2022-11-09 12d Dundalk (AW) 6f Standard 5/11 Alan Persse 118 52 42 7 11/1
Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Nursery Handicap
2022-10-28 27d Dundalk (AW) 5f Standard 9/11 Leigh Roche 133 48 25 200/1
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
2022-10-01 6d Killarney 8f Soft 8/10 Alan Persse 126 40 300/1
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
2022-09-25 DEB Curragh 8f Soft 13/14 Alan Persse 121 26 150/1
Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Record by layoff

Days since the previous run. Does this one go well fresh, or need a run? Career debut excluded — no prior run means no layoff.
Time since last runRunsWinsSR
Quick (under 2wk)6116.7%
Normal (2-4wk)600.0%
Layoff (2-6m)200.0%

Record by distance

TripRunsWinsSR
Sprint (5-6f)400.0%
Mile (7-9f)9111.1%
Staying (13f+)200.0%

Record by going

GoingRunsWinsSR
Soft600.0%
Standard5120.0%
Good300.0%

Record by course

CourseRunsWinsSR
Dundalk (AW)5120.0%

We score Happenstance (IRE) against the whole field — every time it runs

Every UK & Irish runner model-ranked each morning, verified before the off, in your Telegram by 11am.

Free daily pick on Telegram — no card → See today's full tips →
Free weekly racing data study + Saturday's banker — by email
No spam, ever. Unsubscribe with one click.

Data: official UK & Irish results, 2022-09-25–2023-12-20. Historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.