Optima Racing › Horses › Expected Arrival (IRE)

Expected Arrival (IRE)

3yo filly · Form & record 2023-11-01 to 2024-10-02 — from our verified UK & Irish results database. Trained by Kevin Philippart De Foy.

Pedigree Twilight Son (GB) × Litigious (GB) (by Lawman)

OwnerMrs A G Kavanagh

Ratings Official 78 · best RPR 82 · best TS 72

Runs

Wins

16.7%

Strike rate

66.7%

Place rate

1.25

Actual / Expected

8.3%

Level-stake ROI

We grade every runner like this — then send you the bet.

Optima's AI scores all UK & Irish racing daily and sends a verified pick to your Telegram at 11am — logged before the off, settled from official data. Free pick every day, no card needed.

Get today's free pick on Telegram →

Full form — last 6 runs

Btn = beaten lengths · OR = official rating · RPR = Racing Post Rating · TS = Topspeed. Blank cells are values we don't hold for that run — never a zero.

Date	Off	Course	Dist	Going	Cl	Pos	Btn	Jockey	Wgt	OR	RPR	TS	SP
2024-10-02	53d	Kempton (AW)	11f	Standard	4	5/12	0.75	Kieran Shoemark	133	78	82	35	4/1
Flat AW Highclere Castle Feeds Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) Hampered start - midfield - headway from over 3f out - outpaced 2f out - rallied and kept on from over 1f out(op 10/3 tchd 9/2)
2024-08-10	26d	Haydock	10.5f	Firm	5	1/7	0	Kieran Shoemark	134	74	80	63	11/2
Flat Turf Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap Prominent early - led after 1f - shaken up over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong(tchd 9/2)
2024-07-15	25d	Windsor	10f	Soft	5	3/7	0.75	Benoit De La Sayette	134	74	76	20	9/1
Flat Turf Trailfinders The Travel Experts Handicap Disputed lead - lost position but prominent after 3f - outpaced under 2f out - stayed on final furlong - disputing second inside final 110yds(op 10/1)
2024-06-20	187d	Chelmsford (AW)	10f	Standard	5	2/12	2.75	Jack Mitchell	128	–	76	72	5/1
Flat AW Raoul Collet Restricted Maiden Fillies Stakes (For horses In Bands B C And D) (GBB Race) Took keen hold - led - headed over 1f out - kept on final 110yds(op 7/1)
2023-12-16	45d	Wolverhampton (AW)	8.5f	Standard	5	3/11	0.3	Benoit De La Sayette	128	–	69	15	6/1
Flat AW Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Fillies Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B C And D) (GBB) Prominent - went third 2f out - kept on well final 110yds(op 16/5)
2023-11-01	DEB	Kempton (AW)	7f	Standard	4	5/10	1	Kevin Stott	128	–	66	21	28/1
Flat AW Unibet Zero% Mission/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II) Slowly away - in rear - headway when towards far side from 2f out - kept on inside final furlong - eyecatcher

Record by layoff

Days since the previous run. Does this one go well fresh, or need a run? Career debut excluded — no prior run means no layoff.

Time since last run	Runs	Wins	SR
Normal (2-4wk)	2	1	50.0%
Freshened (1-2m)	2	0	0.0%
Long break (6m+)	1	0	0.0%

Record by class

Class	Runs	Wins	SR
Class 4	2	0	0.0%
Class 5	4	1	25.0%

Record by distance

Trip	Runs	Wins	SR
Mile (7-9f)	2	0	0.0%
Middle (10-12f)	4	1	25.0%

Record by going

Going	Runs	Wins	SR
Standard	4	0	0.0%

We score Expected Arrival (IRE) against the whole field — every time it runs

Every UK & Irish runner model-ranked each morning, verified before the off, in your Telegram by 11am.

Free daily pick on Telegram — no card → See today's full tips →

Free weekly racing data study + Saturday's banker — by email

No spam, ever. Unsubscribe with one click.

Data: official UK & Irish results, 2023-11-01–2024-10-02. Historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.