★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  ★  RECENT WINNERS · EVERY PICK LOGGED BEFORE THE OFF  —  Ice Cube Epsom 6/5✓  ·  Caislean Gear Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Geryon Leopardstown 11/10✓  ·  Perfect Scoundrel Epsom 11/8✓  ·  Loughrea Leopardstown 7/2✓  ·  Thickthorn Tom Worcester 6/5✓  ·  The Balearic Sun Epsom 7/4✓  ·  Serenity Dream Chepstow 15/8✓  ·  Doon The Glen Hamilton 11/4✓  ·  Early Dawning Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Inspired Hamilton 2/1✓  ·  I'll Be Back Hamilton 3/1✓  ·  Arch Enemy Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Sunlit Sea Lingfield 5/4✓  ·  Startled Lady Yarmouth 5/2✓  ·  Bella Colombia Killarney 2/1✓  ·  Kalir Killarney 3/1✓  ·  Havana Club Bath 9/4✓  —  SEE EVERY RESULT — WINS & LOSSES →  —  
Optima RacingHorses › Calculated Risk (GB)

Calculated Risk (GB)

8yo gelding · Form & record 2015-01-03 to 2017-11-23 — from our verified UK & Irish results database. Trained by Alexandra Dunn.
Pedigree Motivator (GB) × ?
Ratings Official 97 · best RPR 125 · best TS 98
22
Runs
2
Wins
9.1%
Strike rate
36.4%
Place rate
0.49
Actual / Expected
-62.5%
Level-stake ROI

We grade every runner like this — then send you the bet.

Optima's AI scores all UK & Irish racing daily and sends a verified pick to your Telegram at 11am — logged before the off, settled from official data. Free pick every day, no card needed.

Get today's free pick on Telegram →

Full form — last 22 runs

Btn = beaten lengths · OR = official rating · RPR = Racing Post Rating · TS = Topspeed. Blank cells are values we don't hold for that run — never a zero.
DateOffCourseDistGoingCl PosBtnJockeyWgt ORRPRTSSP
2017-11-23 221d Wincanton 20f Soft 5 9/13 Adam Wedge 163 97 35 20/1
Jockey Club Catering Handicap Hurdle
2017-04-16 28d Ffos Las 16f Good 4 6/12 Lizzie Kelly p 162 99 94 68 8/1
Ethical Power Handicap Hurdle
2017-03-19 18d Ffos Las 20f Soft 3 7/9 Trevor Whelan 143 101 75 8/1
Porsche Cardiff Handicap Hurdle
2017-03-01 18d Ffos Las 20f Heavy 4 4/7 Lizzie Kelly 150 102 100 40 11/2
ROA/Racing Post Owners Jackpot Handicap Hurdle
2017-02-11 34d Uttoxeter 20f Heavy 4 8/11 Lizzie Kelly 151 104 75 14 7/1
SSJ Electrical Handicap Hurdle
2017-01-08 27d Chepstow 19.5f Heavy 4 5/16 Sean Bowen 157 106 101 63 12/1
Bathwick Tyres Bristol Handicap Hurdle
2016-12-12 36d Ffos Las 16f Soft 3 3/8 Sean Bowen 140 106 104 78 9/1
Booker Wholesale Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier For The Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final)
2016-11-06 157d Ffos Las 20f Good 4 13/14 Trevor Whelan 166 110 32 25/1
Finnings Handicap Hurdle
2016-06-02 14d Ffos Las 20f Good 5 5/6 Tom Bellamy 152 113 88 7/4
Walters Group Selling Hurdle
2016-05-19 8d Worcester 20f Firm 5 6/8 Tom Bellamy 155 116 96 34 5/1
Download The Ladbrokes App Claiming Hurdle
2016-05-11 41d Worcester 20f Soft 5 3/8 Tom Bellamy 151 116 106 35 7/4
Herefordshire And Worcestershire Chamber of Commerce Selling Hurdle
2016-03-31 11d Ffos Las 20f Heavy 3 2/7 Tom Bellamy 147 112 113 42 5/2
Weatherbys Handicap Hurdle
2016-03-20 28d Ffos Las 20f Soft 5 1/8 Tom Bellamy 158 112 111 48 9/2
Heineken Conditional Jockeys Selling Hurdle
2016-02-21 9d Ffos Las 16f Heavy 5 1/5 Nathan Moscrop 151 111 117 98 7/4
Ffos Las Racecourse Selling Hurdle
2016-02-12 75d Wetherby 19.5f Heavy 5 4/6 Nathan Moscrop 145 116 104 27 4/1
racinguk.com/anywhere Selling Hurdle
2015-11-29 19d Leicester 15.5f Soft 5 3/6 Harry Skelton p 154 126 91 51 8/13
East Farndon Selling Hurdle
2015-11-10 56d Huntingdon 19.5f Soft 2 7/7 Harry Skelton 152 130 115 10/1
Omni Security Michaelmas Hurdle (A Handicap)
2015-09-15 24d Catterick 14f Soft 5 7/11 Ian Brennan p 132 72 64 19 5/1
Racing UK Anywhere Available Now Handicap
2015-08-22 18d Chester 16f Good 4 8/15 Ian Brennan 129 74 75 54 20/1
Racing UK Handicap
2015-08-04 195d Catterick 14f Good 4 5/6 Joe Doyle 127 74 67 9/2
Betfred Membership Play Your Way Handicap (For The ABF Soldiers Charity Perpetual Trophy)
2015-01-21 18d Catterick 19f Soft 4 2/3 Dougie Costello 151 117 69 7/1
Aiden Coleman Every Friday Racinguk.Com Novices Chase
2015-01-03 DEB Newcastle 16.5f Soft 4 3/7 James Reveley 154 125 91 9/2
S V Rutter Novices Chase

Record by layoff

Days since the previous run. Does this one go well fresh, or need a run? Career debut excluded — no prior run means no layoff.
Time since last runRunsWinsSR
Quick (under 2wk)4125.0%
Normal (2-4wk)9111.1%
Freshened (1-2m)400.0%
Layoff (2-6m)200.0%
Long break (6m+)200.0%

Record by class

ClassRunsWinsSR
Class 3300.0%
Class 4900.0%
Class 59222.2%

Record by distance

TripRunsWinsSR
Staying (13f+)2229.1%

Record by going

GoingRunsWinsSR
Soft10110.0%
Heavy6116.7%
Good500.0%

Record by course

CourseRunsWinsSR
Ffos Las9222.2%
Catterick300.0%

We score Calculated Risk (GB) against the whole field — every time it runs

Every UK & Irish runner model-ranked each morning, verified before the off, in your Telegram by 11am.

Free daily pick on Telegram — no card → See today's full tips →
Free weekly racing data study + Saturday's banker — by email
No spam, ever. Unsubscribe with one click.

Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015-01-03–2017-11-23. Historical and not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.