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HomeData Studies › Newbury Betfair Hurdle 2027: 11 Years of Trends

Newbury Betfair Hurdle 2027: 11 Years of Trends

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

Newbury's Betfair Hurdle & Denman Chase meeting is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 136 races at Newbury in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 40% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
Nicky Henderson731621.9%
Paul Nicholls88910.2%
Jonjo ONeill28621.4%
Alan King46613.0%
Colin Tizzard25624.0%
Nigel Twiston-Davies35514.3%
Dan Skelton38513.2%
David Pipe29517.2%
Ben Pauling34514.7%
Gary Moore37410.8%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Nico de Boinville461123.9%
Harry Cobden54916.7%
Sam Twiston-Davies56712.5%
Gavin Sheehan32515.6%
Richard Johnson27518.5%
Brendan Powell25312.0%
James Bowen2627.7%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20262653.8%
20251330.8%
2024742.9%
20231338.5%
20221330.8%
2021728.6%
20201435.7%
2018757.1%
2017771.4%
2016728.6%
20152123.8%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Pic DOrhy (FR) (33/1, 2020), Violet Dancer (GB) (20/1, 2015), Glory And Fortune (IRE) (20/1, 2022), Heltenham (FR) (20/1, 2026), Bishop Wulstan (IRE) (16/1, 2015), Agrapart (FR) (16/1, 2016). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 Newbury's Betfair Hurdle & Denman Chase meeting arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Newbury in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (136 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.