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HomeData Studies › Leopardstown Christmas 2027: The Festival Trends

Leopardstown Christmas 2027: The Festival Trends

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

Leopardstown's Christmas Festival is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 309 races at Leopardstown in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 35% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
W P Mullins4869519.5%
Gordon Elliott4605912.8%
Henry De Bromhead301289.3%
Joseph Patrick OBrien1491610.7%
Gavin Cromwell161106.2%
Noel Meade11797.7%
Mrs John Harrington14364.2%
Thomas Mullins5658.9%
Martin Brassil29310.3%
A J Martin10832.8%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Paul Townend1293728.7%
Jack Kennedy1453121.4%
Mr P W Mullins592440.7%
Mark Walsh1462215.1%
Davy Russell1021514.7%
R Walsh441534.1%
Rachael Blackmore130129.2%
Sam Ewing45920.0%
Sean Flanagan10987.3%
J J Slevin8478.3%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20252934.5%
20242825.0%
20232835.7%
20222846.4%
20212846.4%
20202839.3%
20192832.1%
20182817.9%
20172828.6%
20162850.0%
20152832.1%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Jeannot Lapin (FR) (50/1, 2024), Favori De Champdou (FR) (50/1, 2025), Ellie Mac (IRE) (50/1, 2017), Winsome Bucks (IRE) (50/1, 2015), Uisce Beatha (IRE) (33/1, 2020), Benruben (IRE) (33/1, 2018). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 Leopardstown's Christmas Festival arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Leopardstown in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (309 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

We score every UK & Irish runner on this kind of data — every morning.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.