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HomeData Studies › Irish Guineas Festival 2027: Curragh Trends & Data

Irish Guineas Festival 2027: Curragh Trends & Data

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

the Irish Guineas Festival at the Curragh is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 313 races at Curragh in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 28% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
A P OBrien2744717.2%
G M Lyons1291814.0%
D K Weld1001616.0%
A P O'Brien491632.7%
J P Murtagh145149.7%
Joseph Patrick OBrien177137.3%
Mrs John Harrington188115.9%
J S Bolger156106.4%
P Twomey52917.3%
W McCreery73811.0%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Ryan Moore1675331.7%
Colin Keane2062713.1%
W J Lee1782413.5%
Chris Hayes181179.4%
Pat Smullen571424.6%
Shane Foley197126.1%
Gary Carroll1021110.8%
Declan McDonogh130107.7%
Seamie Heffernan129107.8%
Ben Coen10398.7%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20262544.0%
20253234.4%
20243221.9%
20233225.0%
20223225.0%
20212420.8%
20193026.7%
20183116.1%
20173040.0%
20162321.7%
20152227.3%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Red Letter Bray (IRE) (50/1, 2024), Telepathy (FR) (50/1, 2019), Orchidaceae (IRE) (50/1, 2024), Ostraka (IRE) (50/1, 2023), Prime Sign (IRE) (50/1, 2025), Shimmerz (IRE) (33/1, 2023). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 the Irish Guineas Festival at the Curragh arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Curragh in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (313 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.