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HomeData Studies › Grand National 2027: The Data Behind Aintree's Big Meeting

Grand National 2027: The Data Behind Aintree's Big Meeting

Optima Racing data desk · 2026-06-18 · based on UK & Irish results 2015–2026

Grand National meeting is the meeting everyone bets on and almost nobody researches properly. We analysed all 231 races at Aintree in the festival window across 11 years (2015–2026) — here are the trainers, jockeys and market patterns that actually repeat.

Across 11 years, the favourite won 30% of races at the meeting — and the gap between the most and least reliable years is enormous (see the year-by-year table). Blind favourite-backing is no plan here.

Trainers with the best record at the meeting

TrainerRunsWinsSR
W P Mullins1622917.9%
Nicky Henderson1772614.7%
Gordon Elliott1421913.4%
Paul Nicholls195189.2%
Dan Skelton172158.7%
Colin Tizzard671319.4%
Henry De Bromhead9399.7%
Lucinda Russell28517.9%
Tom Lacey34411.8%
Ben Pauling5835.2%

Jockeys with the best record

JockeyRunsWinsSR
Nico de Boinville921415.2%
Paul Townend621321.0%
Harry Cobden1011211.9%
Harry Skelton125118.8%
Mark Walsh451124.4%
Jack Kennedy36925.0%
Robbie Power31825.8%
Mr P W Mullins29620.7%
Davy Russell32618.8%
Rachael Blackmore48510.4%

The favourite's record, year by year

YearRacesFavourite SR
20262133.3%
20252123.8%
20242142.9%
20232138.1%
20222119.0%
20212142.9%
20192128.6%
20182128.6%
20172123.8%
20162128.6%
20152119.0%
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The biggest shocks

The meeting's largest-priced winners in our window: Ahoy Senor (IRE) (50/1, 2021), Cousin Pascal (FR) (50/1, 2021), Mirabad (FR) (50/1, 2026), Ultragold (FR) (50/1, 2017), Maggio (FR) (50/1, 2016), Noble Yeats (IRE) (50/1, 2022). Outsiders land every single year — which is exactly why our model rates every runner rather than following the market.

Going into the 2027 meeting

When the 2027 Grand National meeting arrives, our model publishes a rated pick for every race before the off — no race skipped, every result logged win or lose. Start here:

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Data: all races at Aintree in the festival month(s), 2015–2026, our settled-results database (231 races). Trends describe the past, not the future. 18+.

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Data: official UK & Irish results, 2015–2026. Historical patterns are not a guarantee of future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.